Tuesday, January 25, 2011

"Repeal And Replace" With...What?...

Okay, The New Majority has had its fun...

In a largely partisan vote, members of The New Majority in the U.S. House have kept faith with the people who elected them by passing the "Repeal The Job-Killing Health Care Law" Act (in a gesture of The New Civility, House Speaker Boehner referred to the bill as the "Repeal the Job-Destroying Health Care Law" Act...a nicety perhaps too subtle for us here in the grass roots of America).

There will be no action on the bill in the Senate, where Democrats hold a narrow majority.

So...NOW what happens?...

The New Majority has set itself on a course to block key funding provisions related to Obamacare...but that, too, faces the prospect of a pesky Senate .

In reality, the stage is set for establishing "Reforming Health Reform" as a plank in the Republican platform for 2012.

Now, I'm not a Washington insider, but it would seem to me that the Republican strategy would have a little more...intellectual and political heft...if they were a little more forthcoming about what they're FOR.

It's not like we haven't been here before. Republican Congresses have been responsible for the last two quixotic attempts at "health reform:" The enactment of HIPAA in the mid '90's was supposed to increase access to health coverage for small businesses and individuals, as well as reduce the rapid rise in health insurance costs; it did neither, largely because the law and attendant regulations were written by insurers. And of course, there was that exercise in fiscal irresponsibility known as Medicare Part D.

So let's stipulate for the moment that the republican party has not recently demonstrated either much fiscal restraint of any particular expertise in health system reform.

And let's pretend that there really IS a desire on the part of The New Majority to do something constructive...to fix parts of the new law which are broken(or easily breakable) while not messing about quite so much in the private market...and creating incentives for people voluntarily to sign up for health insurance.

First, let's recognize a fact: In Medicare, Medicaid, The Veterans Administration and other programs, government is the biggest purchaser of health care services in our country. If I were advising The New Majority, I'd place priority #1 on improving the clinical and administrative efficiencies produced by the health plans currently under the direct oversight of the Congress.

Second, let's recognize that the private health insurance market is currently four markets: the market for large, self-insured employers (which have been quite aggressive in seeking exemptions from some of the plan design provisions of the new law, primarily to enable them to continue offering high-deductible health plans to their employees); and within the fully-insured market, companies with more than 50 employees; companies with 2-50 employees, and individuals and the self-employed, who are currently precluded by federal law (and most state laws) from obtaining group coverage.

Because large self-insured employers' health plans are currently regulated by the federal government under ERISA, it's appropriate for Congress to reinforce its oversight of these plans.

For the rest, Congress needs to own up to the fact that federal "assistance" in the fully-insured market has largely exacerbated problems faced by small employers and individuals in obtaining affordable coverage (there are a few exceptions, in my opinion...although many of the "consumer protections" being touted in the new law are actually statutory attempts to UNdo some the provisions under HIPAA which have created problems in the non-group market). So here, perhaps the key for Republicans is to do less, not more.

A key element of the Republicans' health reform platform for many years has been to repeal all tax preferences for the purchase of health coverage. That ain't going to happen. Instead, let's go the other way, and make sure that the tax preference follows whoever the purchaser is. Make health insurance premiums fully deductible for both companies and individuals.

There seems to be agreement that even Republican leaders are reluctant to do away with the health insurance exchanges incorporated into the new law. But there are some legitimate concerns that exchanges could adversely affect competition in the small group and individual markets. That's largely due to the fact that the new law tied new subsidies for premium costs exclusively to participation in the new exchanges.

So once again, let's go the other way, and create incentives for the formation of private Small Business Health Plans. This would enable small employers and individuals to band together in the private sector, in the voluntary marketplace, to purchase health coverage jointly. Give these private entities access to the same subsidies as are available through the exchanges, encourage them to use IT and other tools to increase administrative efficiencies, and create powerful private entities, governed by purchasers, to compete with public exchanges.

And put the mandate off till way, way in the future. Only two constituencies support a mandate: health policy wonks who believe, but can't prove, that mandating the purchase of health coverage will somehow subsidize the cost of coverage for those currently excluded for health reasons; and insurers, who both see the opportunity to capture a few million new customers, and know that once a mandate is enacted, there won't be any further need to worry about cost controls, because you'll have to buy coverage, no matter what it costs.

Throw in some tort reform, and you've got yourself a "replacement" for Obamacare.

Both the benefit and the problem with this approach is that many of these ideas have been part of the Republican playbook for a couple of decades, and even when they held firm majorities in Congress and control of The White House, the ideas have gone nowhere.

This is why it's highly unlikely you'll see a real "replacement" bill introduced in this Congress. Because for a couple of decades, Republicans have proved themselves unwilling to take much of a lead in health reform. It'll be much more fun to holler about liberty, obstruct the proceedings, and wait till 2012...

Monday, January 10, 2011

What Difference Does A Mandate Make, Really? The Numbers Don't Add Up...

Opponents of "Obamacare" were popping champagne corks just before Christmas, when a federal judge in Virginia rules that the individual mandate, a central element of the legislation, exceeded the regulatory authority granted to Congress under the Commerce Clause.

Supporters of the plan were predictably dismissive, though they warned that, absent a mandate, an insufficient number of new, young, healthy people would be brought into the insurance system, there could be little prospect for keeping insurance costs under control in the Brave New World.

I have preached against the imposition of mandates for many years, but not out of any cockeyed notion of individual liberty. I believe that a mandate would not achieve the stated policy goal of the plan's advocates, and would, in the long run, have the opposite effect, leading to acceleration of health insurance costs and even less emphasis on quality than is the case in the current morass we call a system.

Because I don't think the numbers add up. I'm not an actuary, so maybe somebody out there smarter than I am will correct my mere layman's understanding.

Let's assume for a moment that the total number of Americans lacking health care coverage is about 50 million (an increase of about 30% from the "37 million uninsured" which led to the enactment of HIPAA, which was supposed to "fix" the markets for small group and individual insurance...And how did THAT work out?...).

For about half that group, "uninsuredness" is not a permanent state. For about 25 million uninsured Americans, the condition is transitory, lasting six months or less, because they're between jobs. So they have some short-term exposure, but the market will take care of them.

That leaves 25 million.

It's estimated that a third of that group consists of "young invincibles," workers under age 30 who have not purchased coverage, either because they think they don't need it or because they can't afford coverage; often they can't afford coverage because pre-existing health conditions have made coverage for them very expensive, if they can get it at all. Theoretically, these are the people whom policymakers want in the system, on the notion that, in general, they'll use less in medical services that they'll pay for in premiums.

Getting them into the health insurance system might easily be accomplished through health insurance exchanges, with subsidies to make coverage more affordable (Note: community rating has a big effect on these young folks' premiums. In Ohio, a healthy 25-year old can purchase coverage for about $150 per month, because of age-based underwriting. In New York the cost is about triple that).


That leaves 16-17 million people.

About half that number represents working families who currently earn too much to qualify for coverage under Medicaid, but not enough to afford insurance premiums. I think that expansion of children's health coverage, and the institution of premium subsidies, help these families get into the system.

That leaves 8-9 million people who currently can't obtain coverage at any price because of pre-existing health conditions. They've had a helluva time finding coverage, but it's not as if they're not trying. A study by the Commonwealth Fund concluded that only about nine percent of those applying for health coverage in the individual market are able to obtain it, because their health conditions either render them uninsurable, or because they rates they're offered are out of reach.

Aren't we making pre-existing conditions go away, and extending premium subsidies to these individuals through exchanges, as well?

Most of the folks I know in this category are either desperate to acquire coverage, or struggling to obtain it.

So who's left? Where are the millions of slackers who refuse to purchase coverage, even when it's available to them at a relatively affordable price?

Is it reasonable to expect that premiums generated by bringing in the "young invincibles" will come anywhere near offsetting the cost of bringing in the 7-8 million older, sicker people who now can't purchase coverage at any price?

Then there's the matter of price...or more precisely, the contention that mandating participation by everyone has the long-term effect of bringing costs down for everyone. I think this contention is nonsense. There's no evidence to support it, and in the few instances where evidence exists, it would seem to support the contrary position.

Many years ago, I had the chance to debate The Lion Of The Senate, Ted Kennedy, on the subject of making health coverage mandatory. As we discussed the issue, I asked him, "Pretend for a moment that everyone in America was required to purchase a Cadillac Sedan DeVille? Not just a car, but a big old Cadillac with all the options. What do you think would happen to the price of Cadillacs?"

The Senator answered that he thought the price would go down, because there would be so many more of them.

I suggested the contrary: not only would the price not go down, but there'd be no limit on the price of Cadillacs, because regardless of price, the government said you had to have one. And it wouldn't matter how well your Cadillac worked; the government didn't say your Cadillac had to work great, only that you had to buy one. Oh, and by the way, other carmakers? Competition in the car market? It would cease to exist.

That's the last time we spoke personally.

There is one state, Hawaii, which mandates that all citizens have health coverage. It's essentially a holdover from Hawaii's plantation days. In the early '70's, state government required that all health plans offer chiropractic services. In the ten years following enactment of the mandate, the number of chiropractors in Hawaii doubled, and the cost of chiropractic services tripled.

Think heath care costs are accelerating in hyper-drive now?...Wait till you have no choice but to buy a standard health plan, courtesy of Our Friends In Government.

I'm perfectly happy to be proved wrong. It just ain't happened yet...

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

End-Of-Life Counseling and Health Care Rationing: Enough With The "Death Panels" Lie

The Obama Administration announced just before Christmas that it would use its Executive Order authority to enact regulations allowing physicians to be reimbursed for providing end-of-life counseling to patients and their families.

Predictably, conservative talking heads once again took up the cry of government interference in life-or-death decisions via the formation of "death panels", and of the slippery slope toward rationing of health care services.

Puh-leez...

It was a mark of the President's relative inexperience with hard-ball politics which led him to lose control of the debate over end-of-life counseling in the spring of 2010. And his unwillingness to engage with his opponents over the issue led to one of the key mistakes committed by novice politicians: letting your opponent define the terms of the debate.

It would seem the President and his minions are a little better prepared to pick up that fight again. And it would be good for the country if he succeeds. Here's why.

First, the new rule simply enables physicians to be paid for what most of them and their clinical and nursing staffs already do: assist patients and their families in weighing the pros and cons of treatment or palliative care options toward the end of life...whether it be the life of an aged and infirm relative, a traumatically injured younger person, or even a severely ill premature infant.

If you've ever been in a position to make such a decision, you know how difficult it is. Rarely are even the best-educated individuals capable of thinking straight when someone they love is teetering on the brink of death. And for many, clinical efficacy (whether or not a treatment will cure the patient) is rarely the first consideration.

And that leads to the most important reason that end-of-life counseling makes sense: it can lead to dramatic reductions in hospital and physician costs.

Over half...by some accounts, as much of 70%...of hospital costs are directed toward individuals in their last three months of life. Much of those costs come from providing high-technology supportive services to patients who have no hope of surviving. Many physicians will say privately that, when facing a hopeless clinical situation, they will often accede to family members' demands to spare no expense, or to try anything, to extend their suffering loved one's life, even if such efforts are obviously futile, to avoid possible legal action.

The ability to educate patients and families about the possible benefits of hospice, for example, could have a dramatic effect on health care expenditures for private insurance, and especially for Medicare. So to the extent that health care spending reductions, and deficit reduction, are supposedly objectives of meaningful health care reform, such a policy makes sense.

Where are the "death panels?" Nowhere. Nowhere is it even suggested that anyone's going to insist that "the plug be pulled on Grandma." That's just a rather spurious lie, as anyone who's read the rule, or even the original legislative language, can tell you for certain. I know many of the Republican members of Congress who've taken up this banner. They're smart. They KNOW they're perpetuating a Big Lie. It's apparently in their political self-interest to do so. They should be ashamed of themselves...if they're capable of feeling shame.

Does such a rule lead inevitably to "rationing" health care services? Depends on your definition of rationing. At its foundation, "rationing" is all about the rational allocation of unlimited resources, whether food or, in this case, money (in the form of services). So literally, one can NOT engage in rationing only if resources are unlimited.

Up till now, for most patients, end-of-life care is "rationed" based on the lifetime maximum of their health insurance policies. Providers have often thrown a bunch of technology at patients until they reach their lifetime max; then they're sent home, or into hospice care.

With the elimination of lifetime maximums on most fully-insured health plans, that form of rationing goes out the window. Absent more patient involvement in critical decision-making, hospitals will no longer have even THAT incentive to shut down their treatments for critically- or terminally-ill patients.

One would think that those advocates for "patient empowerment" out there would celebrate this rule as a potential benefit to patients, their families, and the overall system of care. One can only assume that the REAL opposition to the imposition of such a rule would be hospitals, whose revenues could suffer if more patients and families actually begin making educated choices.

And that may be what's REALLY at the root of this furor. As is usually the case with insurers, it's also true for hospitals that an uninformed patient is often their best (and most profitable) customer.

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Sales Commissions And Health Insurance Exchanges

As Al Franken's Stuart Smalley character was known to say, "Denial is not just a river in Egypt."

Insurance agents and brokers are apoplectic about a recent recommendation to the Obama Administration by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, stating that sales commissions should be considered as administrative expenses under the new health insurance reform law.

This is significant because beginning as early as January 1st, 2011, insurers are under a federal mandate to spend at least 80 percent of collected premiums on medical expenses. This caps insurer administrative expenses at 20 percent of premiums for small group insurance coverage, and at 25 percent of premiums for individual (non-group) coverage.

Response from the insurance industry and lobbying associations representing agents and brokers has been predictable: they have blamed everybody else (hospitals, doctors, lawyers, pharmaceutical companies) for health insurance cost inflation; they've railed against government interference in health insurance pricing; they've predicted that many insurers may be forced to leave the market if they can't compete in a more efficient world; and they've made dire pronouncements about declining customer service if agents must abandon their roles as "educators and advocates" for their small business clients.

All of which conveniently overlooks some important objective realities.

Health insurance coverage costs an average of 18-20 percent more for small employers than larger companies pay for comparable coverage. The principal reason for the cost differential is administrative costs, which average 25-27 percent of premiums for small groups and 30-40 percent of premiums for individuals.

The largest components of those cost differences are related to marketing, sales, and underwriting. Easily half of the difference is related to commissions and overrides paid both to general agents ("wholesalers")and selling agents ("retailers.")

Despite the onslaught of information technology, small group coverage remains heavily dependent on paper forms, complicated business processes, and a lot of administrative inefficiency, as technology solutions which have permeated other niches of the industry have not touched the small group market.

Why not? Because insurers are almost solely dependent on third-party agents to sell their products. And business processes which might simplify shopping for coverage threaten to "disintermediate" third-party salespeople, who have a lot of power with insurers.

Back in the late 1980's and early 1990's a few small business organizations (including my COSE alma mater) were able to produce genuine cost savings for their members by using the power of large numbers to reduce administrative costs through more efficient marketing and sales, and through the use of management information to negotiate more cost-effective rates from participating insurers.

The growing leverage of these purchasing groups produced a backlash among smaller insurers and agents, which resulted in many states enacting laws which prohibited insurers from "discounting" administrative costs for such groups. This protected agents' income, even as it created a disincentive to develop any cost-related efficiencies in health insurance marketing and administration.

Health costs (hospital, physician, and pharmaceutical among them) being equal, the only way to have a meaningful impact on small business' health insurance costs is to attack these administrative expenses...including sales commissions.

Certainly, a key differentiator for new statewide health insurance exchanges ought to be the ability to use administrative efficiencies...in the form of plan standardization, simplification, and reduced marketing, sales, and underwriting costs...to affect the price of health insurance coverage. A small business owner purchasing coverage directly through an exchange on-line should not have to pay the same cost as a business owner who buys through an agent, whose paperwork is processed by a general agent.

Administrative efficiency can also be a differentiator for insurers who, because of their size or market position, cannot obtain the kind of discounts from provider groups that the big Blues or dominant local insurers can obtain.

There's no doubt that agents are going to be subject to a squeeze in the brave new world of health insurance reform, just as middlemen have been squeezed in virtually every service industry. Many of the protests raised by insurance agents in this instance mirror those of travel agents in the infant stages of Priceline.com.

In the long run, just as with travel services, customers will flock to purchase health coverage in the easiest most transparent and cost-efficient manner...and if that means sacrificing their relationships with agents for a lower-cost, better deal through an exchange, that's what's going to happen.

Insurer and agent fears about exchanges aren't based on fear that they won't work; it's based on fear that they WILL work. Much of agents' business success is based on managing the complexity of the status quo, and insurers use the complexity and pain involved in shopping for coverage as a defensive business strategy. Neither party sees itself benefiting from a system which encourages transparency and simplicity.

That's why, instead of trying to find ways to game the regulatory process, agents should be pressuring insurers to do everything they can to increase simplicity and efficiency, and reduce their costs...even though, since their commissions are largely calculated as a percentage of premium, lower costs may lead to reduced commission income.

And they should start collaborating to develop the means to compete with exchanges through faster, simpler, and more customer-friendly experiences, rather than hoping that the system will continue to reward complexity and lack of transparency.

In a world where shopping for health coverage is easy, efficient, and transparent, the only beneficiaries are the small businesses that pay the bill. And that's what health insurance "reform" is supposed to be about.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Ain't Nothing Free In Health Insurance, Part 2...

A few weeks ago, I gently chided Robert Pear of The New York Times for touting the introduction of "free" diagnostic screening tests as part of the new federally-mandated health insurance plan. Coverage which isn't subject to deductibles and co-pays isn't free; it's just being paid for in a different way.

An article in the Wall Street Journal last week demonstrated how the "free benefits" chicken have begun to come home to roost. The article is here http://finance.yahoo.com/insurance/article/110602/health-insurers-plan-hikes?mod=insurance-health. It reports that insurers are raising prices between 3.4 and 9 percent above their average planned rate increases to cover the cost of new benefits mandated by the insurance reform measure which have already been, or soon will be, effective for individual and small group consumers.

Those benefits include the elimination of "lifetime caps" on insurance coverage, elimination of pre-existing conditions exclusions for children, continuation of family coverage for dependent children up to age 26, and elimination of co-pays for diagnostic and preventive care.

There have been the expected expressions of outrage from The White House and consumer groups, who accuse insurers of using reform as an excuse to gouge customers. What the situation really illustrates is that any promises of greater access to coverage for more people, expanded benefits AND cost reductions are...well, a misstatement...and one Democrats don't need in advance of the November elections.

There IS a legitimate issue regarding HOW the additional rate increases are being calculated. There are suggestions that insurers are padding their rates excessively; insurers react with shock and horror.

Here's the real story: Insurers are like the house in Las Vegas; they never lose, because they're playing with your money. Insurers ask their actuaries to calculate the cost of these additional benefits, and the actuaries respond with an estimate which is as conservative (that is, favorable to the insurers) as possible.

And most states don't have the expertise or wherewithal to review these estimates. Insurers conceal their formulas as "trade secrets" to protect them from oversight. And most states' insurance departments have as their principal charge the protection of insurers' financial solvency, not consumer protection. So all insurers must do is say "we need these rates," and insurance departments have no choice but to say "okay."

Problem is, if their estimates are wrong...that is, if those rates are overstated...there's no mechanism for going back to recapture the overage and return in to consumers, whether directly or in the form of premium reductions or adjusted renewal rates. If the insurers guess high, and are wrong, they get to keep the money.

As is the case with most issues related to health insurance, the big need in the small group and individual health insurance markets is for someone on the consumers' side knowledgeable enough, and powerful enough, to challenge these rating assertions and negotiate something fair and accurate. Will exchanges play this role? Will state regulators? The federal government? Absent some smarts and power on the purchasers' side, consumers will continue to face "take it or leave it" pricing propositions, insurers will load rates to assure a very hefty profit, and health insurance rates will continue to increase at a rate up to three times the rise in actual health care costs.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

What Goes Around Comes Around: Insurers Re-Discover Selective Contracting

Insurers and employers are turning to a once-popular, then-demonized strategy to reduce and control health care costs: creating closed networks of providers.

"Brand name" insurers such as Aetna, Wellpoint/Anthem and UnitedHealthcare are experimentally rolling out health plans which save participants money by limiting the hospitals and physicians they can see, and severely restricting...or even denying...benefits when they use non-network providers.

For those with a grasp of ancient history, HMO's and Preferred Provider Organizations (PPO's) were a foundation of the "managed care" movement of the late '80's and mid-90's. Insurers would assure selected providers of increased patient volume in exchange for favorable reimbursement rates. Providers which would agree to the rates usually did experience an increase in business, usually at the expense of providers not in the preferred networks.

Selective contracting is one of the relatively few broad strategies which could be proved to save consumers money over time. But they were not popular with two groups. The first group consisted of providers who didn't win contracts with insurers. The second group was insurers which didn't have the market share to enable them to develop favorable contracts with hospital and physician networks.

By the late 1990's, selective contracting was under assault by these interests, cloaked in the guise of "limited consumer choice." The steady drumbeat of this criticism, together with the move toward provider consolidation in most local markets, succeeded in undermining the effectiveness of selective contracting as a cost-containment strategy.

(The case could be made that a major impetus for the evolution of "health systems"...hospital and physician networks...was a backlash against insurers' success in using selective contracting to control costs. In communities like Cleveland, with significant excess capacity, selective contracting was a demonstrably successful cost containment strategy. But in an environment of provider consolidation, restricting insurers' contracting options to two or three instead of 25 or 30 helped providers keep their prices up.)

But with employers' concerns over hyperinflation in health costs, and with increasing pressure on Medicare and Medicaid to control health care cost inflation, insurers are betting that consumers will be willing to accept some limitations on provider networks as a way to keep some control over costs.

And with insurers facing new restrictions on plan design, especially limitations on deductibles and co-pays, look for products featuring limited provider networks as The Next Thing in cost containment. It worked 25 years ago, and it'll work today.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

What The Politicians AREN'T Saying About The Massachusetts Connector: A Cautionary Tale

Throughout the Washington debate over health insurance reform, advocates lionized the experiment enacted in 2006 by the State of Massachusetts. The "Massachusetts Connector" is a key model for the Obama Administration's notion of "health insurance exchanges:" electronic marketplaces which would enable small businesspeople and individuals to shop on-line among a variety of health plans.

The Connector is credited with increasing access to health insurance coverage for Massachusetts residents; compared with 89.5 percent of the non-elderly population in 2006, over 95% of the population was covered by private insurance in 2009. That increase in coverage was largely due to generous subsidies provided to families whose income was less than three times the federal poverty level (about $66,000 for a family of four).

I've looked closely at the Connector from a user perspective, and it IS easy to use. That's partially due to Massachusetts' being a state which community rates both individual and small group coverage, and which guarantees that coverage will be available to anyone who applies, irrespective of health condition.

So far, so good, except...

Robert J. Samuelson, who writes on economics for both Newsweek and The Washington Post, recently published a column called "As Massachusetts 'Reform' Goes, So Should Obamacare" (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/07/18/AR2010071802733.html), which highlights several issues political leaders in Massachusetts have ignored, at their increasing peril, and which should serve as cautionary tales for states moving forward with implementation of their own exchanges.

The article illustrates the inevitable outcome of a strategy which places a higher priority on access to coverage than on cost control. It also points out how difficult it is...and will be...for politicians to take concrete steps to curb runaway health insurance costs once a new entitlement has been enacted.

First, while The Connector is credited with an incremental increase in the number of people with insurance, the offsetting benefits have been slow to come by. "Emergency rooms are as crowded as ever; about a third of the non-elderly go at least once a year, and half those visits are for 'non-emergency' conditions."

The expected gains in health status trumpeted under the program are seen as mostly long-term, since the evidence suggests that the majority of the newly-insured are younger, and therefore healthier, than the general population. This should be good for participating insurance companies, since they're selling more plans to young people who won't use them, but the effect on public health has been negligible.

But not the effect on health costs; they're spiraling out of control. As recently as 2009, the Massachusetts legislature was investigating ways to limit benefits under the State's plan by denying coverage to certain groups, such as illegal aliens. But that didn't happen.

But health care costs have exploded. There is additional burden on small employers, who are required to pay at least 70% of premiums for their workers. But the burden on State finances has been even more drastic. "In 1990, health spending represented about 16 percent of expenditures," Samuelson writes. "By 2000, health's share of the budget was 22 percent. In 2010, it's 35 percent. And ninety percent of the State's health spending is on Medicaid."

How have political leaders responded? By beating up on insurance companies. Massachusetts' insurance commissioner began denying "unreasonable" premium increases. A State commission ruled those denials were illegal; negotiations with insurers continue.

A blue-ribbon commission concluded that the villain was fee-for-service medicine, and recommended the enactment of "global payment systems" to force providers to be more efficient. But the commission offered no clue as to how to implement such payment systems, and since hospitals, doctors, and other providers objected to the recommendation,the political process stalled.

Concludes Samuelson: "The lesson from Massachusetts is that genuine cost control will be avoided because it's so politically difficult. It requires limiting the incomes of hospitals, doctors, and other providers. They object. To encourage "
'accountable care organizations' would limit consumer choice of doctors and hospitals. That's unpopular."

"Obama dodged the tough issues in favor of grandstanding....What's occurring in Massachusetts is the plausible future"

Policymakers and groups working to implement federal insurance reforms can develop an exchange approach which combines administrative efficiencies, large-scale purchasing power, network management, and regulatory flexibility to effect real pro-consumer change in the health insurance marketplace. The tools are generally available, as is the knowledge of what works...and what doesn't...to achieve the laudable goal of expanding access to affordable health coverage for small businesses, their employees, and their families.

But where's the debate?...As long as it's confined to the halls of politics, the interests of those who pay will be overwhelmed by the interests of those who get paid.